Expanding Window Calculations

pandas
Published

October 25, 2024

Expanding window calculations, also known as cumulative calculations or running totals, are a powerful tool for analyzing time series data and other sequential information. Unlike fixed-size window calculations (like moving averages), expanding windows consider all preceding data points up to the current point. This provides a dynamic view of trends and patterns as the data unfolds. This post explores how to efficiently perform expanding window calculations in Python, utilizing libraries like pandas and NumPy.

Understanding Expanding Windows

Imagine you’re tracking the daily sales of your online store. An expanding window calculation of your daily sales would give you the cumulative sales from the beginning of your tracking period up to each day. This allows you to see not just daily performance, but the total sales accumulated over time.

The key difference between a moving average (fixed window) and an expanding window is the size of the window. A moving average uses a constant window size (e.g., a 7-day moving average), while an expanding window’s size grows with each new data point.

Implementing Expanding Window Calculations with Pandas

Pandas, a widely-used Python library for data manipulation and analysis, offers highly efficient methods for handling expanding window calculations. The expanding() function, combined with aggregation functions like sum(), mean(), max(), min(), etc., provides a straightforward way to compute these calculations.

import pandas as pd

data = {'Date': pd.to_datetime(['2024-01-01', '2024-01-02', '2024-01-03', '2024-01-04', '2024-01-05']),
        'Sales': [10, 15, 20, 12, 25]}
df = pd.DataFrame(data)

df['Expanding_Sum'] = df['Sales'].expanding().sum()

df['Expanding_Mean'] = df['Sales'].expanding().mean()

df['Expanding_Max'] = df['Sales'].expanding().max()

print(df)

This code snippet demonstrates how to compute the expanding sum, mean, and maximum of the ‘Sales’ column. The expanding() method automatically handles the growing window size. The output will clearly show the cumulative values for each calculation.

Expanding Window Calculations with NumPy

While pandas offers a user-friendly interface, NumPy can also be used for more granular control and potentially faster computations for very large datasets. However, pandas often provides a more concise and readable solution for most use cases.

import numpy as np

sales = np.array([10, 15, 20, 12, 25])

expanding_sum = np.cumsum(sales)

expanding_mean = np.cumsum(sales) / np.arange(1, len(sales) + 1)

print("Expanding Sum:", expanding_sum)
print("Expanding Mean:", expanding_mean)

This NumPy example shows how to calculate the expanding sum and mean using cumsum() and manual division, respectively. Note that calculating other expanding statistics like the maximum would require more explicit looping or custom functions.

Handling Missing Values

Expanding window calculations can handle NaN (Not a Number) values differently depending on the aggregation function. sum() will ignore them, while mean() will include them and potentially lower the average. Pandas provides options to handle missing data before or during the calculation using methods like .fillna() to replace NaN values with a specific value (e.g., 0 or the mean).

Beyond Basic Aggregations

Pandas’ expanding() function can be combined with other functions for more sophisticated analyses. For instance, you could calculate the expanding standard deviation, expanding median, or even more complex custom aggregations. This flexibility makes expanding windows a versatile tool for exploring data trends and patterns.